Intelligence Board: What caused the SpaceX Falcon 9 explosion?

Board created by tschiller on Sept. 12, 2016.
On Sept 1, 2016, SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket exploded on the Cap Canaveral launchpad. SpaceX, NASA, the Air Force, and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) are investigating.
Aggregate View (All Evaluations)
A foreign government or organization sabotaged the launch
A competitor sabotaged the launch
The explosion was a fluke
A SpaceX employee sabotaged the launch
An engineering mistake caused the explosion
Sept. 1, 2016 Footage shows a dark object passing by the tip of the rocket just before the explosion Evaluate Consistent Consistent Consistent Consistent Inconsistent
Images show a white spot on the roof of a building of a competitor, ULA, with a clear line of sight to the launch pad Evaluate Consistent Consistent Neutral Inconsistent Neutral
Sept. 1, 2016 The rocket was carrying the AMOS-6 satellite. The satellite was owned by Spacecom and was to be used by Facebook and Eutelsat to provide internet access to Africa, the Middle East, and Europe. Evaluate Consistent Consistent N/A Neutral N/A
Sept. 1, 2016 The explosion happened during a routine filling operation Evaluate Neutral Mild dispute over assessment Neutral Neutral Mild dispute over assessment Neutral Mild dispute over assessment Consistent
Sept. 1, 2016 A bang occurred a few seconds before the fireball Evaluate Consistent Consistent Consistent Consistent Consistent
Sept. 1, 2016 The anomaly originated around the upper stage oxygen tank Evaluate Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral
Sept. 30, 2016 Air Force investigators inspected the roof where a white spot was seen, but didn't find anything connected to the explosion Evaluate Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral
A large breach occurred in the cryogenic helium system of the second stage liquid oxygen tank Evaluate Neutral No Assessments Neutral Neutral Neutral
The explosion took place over the course of less than 1/10th of a second Evaluate Neutral No Assessments Neutral Neutral Neutral

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