Intelligence Board: What caused the SpaceX Falcon 9 explosion?

Board created by tschiller on Sept. 12, 2016.
On Sept 1, 2016, SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket exploded on the Cap Canaveral launchpad. SpaceX, NASA, the Air Force, and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) are investigating.
Disagreement View (All Evaluations)
A foreign government or organization sabotaged the launch
A competitor sabotaged the launch
The explosion was a fluke
A SpaceX employee sabotaged the launch
An engineering mistake caused the explosion
Sept. 1, 2016 Footage shows a dark object passing by the tip of the rocket just before the explosion Evaluate Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Inconsistent
Images show a white spot on the roof of a building of a competitor, ULA, with a clear line of sight to the launch pad Evaluate Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Inconsistent Consensus: Neutral
Sept. 1, 2016 The rocket was carrying the AMOS-6 satellite. The satellite was owned by Spacecom and was to be used by Facebook and Eutelsat to provide internet access to Africa, the Middle East, and Europe. Evaluate Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: N/A Consensus: Neutral Consensus: N/A
Sept. 1, 2016 The explosion happened during a routine filling operation Evaluate Mild Dispute Consensus: Neutral Mild Dispute Mild Dispute Consensus: Consistent
Sept. 1, 2016 A bang occurred a few seconds before the fireball Evaluate Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent Consensus: Consistent
Sept. 1, 2016 The anomaly originated around the upper stage oxygen tank Evaluate Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral
Sept. 30, 2016 Air Force investigators inspected the roof where a white spot was seen, but didn't find anything connected to the explosion Evaluate Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral
A large breach occurred in the cryogenic helium system of the second stage liquid oxygen tank Evaluate Consensus: Neutral No Assessments Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral
The explosion took place over the course of less than 1/10th of a second Evaluate Consensus: Neutral No Assessments Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral Consensus: Neutral

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